Texas Pacific Valuation

TPL Stock  USD 348.36  4.85  1.37%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Texas Pacific Land has a current Real Value of $337.04 per share. The regular price of the company is $348.36. Our model measures the value of Texas Pacific Land from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.39, operating margin of 0.74 %, and Shares Outstanding of 22.98 M as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Texas Pacific's valuation include:
Price Book
17.7999
Enterprise Value
23.8 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
37.3856
Price Sales
30.7056
Forward PE
37.7358
Overvalued
Today
348.36
Please note that Texas Pacific's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Texas Pacific Land is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Texas Pacific's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Texas stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Texas Pacific Land. Since Texas Pacific is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Texas Stock. However, Texas Pacific's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  348.36 Real  337.04 Target  635.0 Hype  354.78 Naive  367.48
The intrinsic value of Texas Pacific's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Texas Pacific's stock price.
334.00
Downside
337.04
Real Value
390.26
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Texas Pacific Land helps investors to forecast how Texas stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Texas Pacific more accurately as focusing exclusively on Texas Pacific's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
6.326.326.32
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
351.74354.78357.82
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
7.868.489.10
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
577.85635.00704.85
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Texas Pacific's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Texas Pacific's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Texas Pacific's closest peers.

Texas Pacific Cash

446.58 Million

Texas Revenue by Product

Texas Pacific Total Value Analysis

Texas Pacific Land is at this time projected to have company total value of 23.83 B with market capitalization of 22.73 B, debt of 453 K, and cash on hands of 369.83 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Texas Pacific fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
23.83 B
22.73 B
453 K
369.83 M

Texas Pacific Investor Information

About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 20.73. Texas Pacific Land last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. The entity had 3:1 split on the 27th of March 2024. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Texas Pacific's historical financial statements, Texas Pacific Land is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate risk of reporting better financial numbers in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin1.00.88
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities592.5 M564.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income651 M620 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Texas Pacific Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Texas Pacific has an asset utilization ratio of 56.56 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.57 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Texas Pacific Land is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
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Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Texas Pacific Profitability Analysis

Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Texas Pacific's financial statements, Texas Pacific's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average risk of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Texas Pacific's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
116.1 M
Current Value
121.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
35.5 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Texas Pacific's Gross Profit is quite stable compared to the past year. Operating Profit Margin is expected to rise to 1.00 this year, although the value of Pretax Profit Margin will most likely fall to 0.64.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin1.061.03
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Net Profit Margin0.440.58
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Operating Profit Margin1.00.88
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.640.74
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.320.33
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.420.36
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
For Texas Pacific profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Texas Pacific Land to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Texas Pacific utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Texas Pacific's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Texas Pacific over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Texas Pacific Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Texas Pacific's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Texas Pacific's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Texas Pacific Land is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Texas Pacific is projected to generate 6.32325 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Texas Pacific earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Texas Pacific EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Texas Pacific's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Texas Pacific, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Texas Pacific Ownership Allocation

Texas Pacific Land shows a total of 22.98 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Texas Pacific Land outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Texas Pacific to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Texas Pacific Land. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Texas Pacific Land as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company owns, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Texas Pacific Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 705.82 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 453.96 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 727.03 M.

Texas Pacific Past Distributions to stockholders

About Texas Pacific Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Texas Pacific Land. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Texas Pacific Land based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Texas Pacific's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Texas Pacific's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Texas Pacific. We calculate exposure to Texas Pacific's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Texas Pacific's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit729.7 M766.2 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.74  0.64 
Operating Profit Margin 0.88  1.00 
Net Profit Margin 0.58  0.44 
Gross Profit Margin 1.03  1.06 

Texas Pacific Quarterly Retained Earnings

1.51 Billion

Texas Pacific's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Texas Pacific's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Texas Pacific can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Texas Pacific represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Texas, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Texas Pacific Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Texas Pacific's Dividends Paid is quite stable compared to the past year. Dividend Yield is expected to rise to 0.04 this year, although the value of Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio will most likely fall to 1.11. . Retained Earnings is expected to rise to about 1.5 B this year. Retained Earnings Total Equity is expected to rise to about 620.2 M this year
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid399.4 M419.4 M
Dividend Yield 0.04  0.04 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.88  0.92 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.17  1.11 
There are various types of dividends Texas Pacific can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Texas shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Texas Pacific Land directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Texas pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Texas Pacific by the value of the dividends paid out.

Texas Pacific Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Texas Pacific does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.138
Forward Price Earnings37.7358

Texas Pacific Current Valuation Indicators

Texas Pacific's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Texas Pacific's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Texas Pacific, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Texas Pacific's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Texas Pacific's worth.
When determining whether Texas Pacific Land is a strong investment it is important to analyze Texas Pacific's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Texas Pacific's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Texas Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Texas Pacific Land. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
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Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Texas Pacific. If investors know Texas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Texas Pacific assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.138
Dividend Share
6.4
Earnings Share
20.73
Revenue Per Share
33.609
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.17
The market value of Texas Pacific Land is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Texas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Texas Pacific's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Texas Pacific's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Texas Pacific's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Texas Pacific's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Texas Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Texas Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Texas Pacific's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.